Читать реферат по английскому: "External Conditions Of Canada Essay Research Paper" Страница 3
States, and, finally, as the demand for Canadian primary
products levelled, the Canadian dollar began its long decline in relation
to the United States dollar. When the Canadian government moved to
have oil and gas production owned in Canada [indeed, nationalized in
Petro Canada, which was later privatized in the neoconservative
reduction of government activities in the 1990s], during
the OPEC oil crisis, the Canadian dollar took a precipitous fall, from
about 90 cents to about 80 cents, from which level it continued its slow
decline in relation to the United States dollar.
This was a bad time for North America. The whole world suffered from
inflation with Euro Dollars and Petro Dollars in abundance, but North
America suffered from stagflation. It stagnated in productivity growth.
It had inflation and unemployment. It also experienced obsolescence in
its “smoke stack industries”. Iron and steel, and automobiles
were better made in other countries with cheaper labour and more recent
technologies. It looked like the beginning of the end of American
superiority. There was talk of the deindustrialization of America,
but, America was not going to fade all at once. Indeed, it was going
to recover its position.
At this time, when globalization was replacing nationalization, just
as nationalization had replaced regionalization in the United States
in the nineteenth century. American national industries, under threat,
became protectionist. The Congress took back from the Executive some of
the initiative in legislation related to commerce. Countervailing and
retaliatory duties were placed on incoming goods. Canadian exports of
fish, meat products, iron and steel, and forest and agricultural products
were favourite targets. In these circumstances
Canada began to seek an agreement on trade, and, indeed, before the
1980s were out, a Free Trade Agreement was achieved. The most important
part of the FTA was a “disputes settlement mechanism” by which Canada hoped
to stop United States neo protectionism from piecemeal destruction of its
exports to that country. The subsequent North American Free Trade Agreement
seems to have been motivated more by an attempt to get a market as large
as possible, and to permit the exploitation of comparative advantages
throughout the continent: a matter of intercontinental competition,
North America, vs. Asia, vs. Europe.
Tarnished Golden and Silver Ages
In the 1990s Canada accepted its attachment to the North American Continent
and its need to find a different entry into world markets, particularly
a niche in the market for manufactured goods. Of course, a strong
vestigial reliance on primary products remained, particularly in Western
Canada. Atlantic Canada is a more complicated case. The west continued
to rely on exports of primary products to rapidly industrializaing
Asian countries. Despite its general acceptance of the new global
situation, Canada remained in recession with sluggish productivty gains
through the middle of the 1990s.
In 1996 the economy of North America seems to have bottomed out. In 1997
and 1998, employment grew, productivity grew, inflation remained low.
GDP grew at an acceptable 3% to 4%. The United States, perhaps because it
had accepted the readjustment process of downsizing, privatizing,
deregulation, and reduction in wages, more than Canada had, [but more
likely because Canada had a more sever adjustment to make, and had to cope
with internal political problems related to the structure of the
federation and its entanglement with a more fully developed social welfare
system]
experienced a fuller recovery than Canada. Neither had a full
blown Golden Age. It was more likely a Tarnished Golden Age for
the United States, and a Silver Age for Canada. The United States
continued to have a serious deficit in trade, financed by imports of
capital. That is, superiority in production of goods continued to slip
away. In the provision of certain computerized services, of course, the
United State retained its lead. Canada continued to have high unemployment
and slow growth in productivity until late in the 1990s, and it continued
to rely to a significant
extent on “commodity” exports, the prices of which continued to fall until
1999. Real living standards in Canada fell over the 1990s.
In 1997, the advance of Asia ended, temporarily, and a fairly deep
recession set in. From an historical perspective, there was nothing
unusual in this. The frontier of the expansion of industrialism had
always experienced a boom and bust cycle. What happed in Asia was
typical. There was over expansion as the investment process itself
generated profits for projects that would never produce a profit
once the investment was in place. Gross inefficiencies and corruption
once again characterized the boom period of capitalistic expansion.
This became particularly evident in Thailand. Investment stopped,
pulling down the value of the baht, the Thailand currency. This meant
that Thai debts could not be paid, and Thai markets collapsed
This affected sales and profits in Malaysia, where similar problems and
a similar process occurred. Indeed, the “contagion” spread to most of Asia
outside of China and India, to Russia, and it would have spread to
Brazil, and then
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