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safer investments
such as treasury bonds and bank accounts. As the prices continued to rise, some economic
analysts began to warn of an impending correction, but they were largely ignored by the
leading pundits. Many banks, eager to increase their profits, began
speculating dangerously with their investments as well. Finally, in October 1929, the
buying craze began to dwindle, and was followed by an even wilder selling craze.
On Thursday, October 24, 1929, the bottom began to fall out. Prices dropped
precipitously as more and more investors tried to sell their holdings. By the end of the day,
the New York Stock Exchange had lost four billion dollars, and it took exchange clerks
until five o’clock am the next day to clear all the transactions. By the following Monday,
the realization of what had happened began to sink in, and a full-blown panic ensued.
Thousands of investors–many of them ordinary working people, not serious players–were
financially ruined. By the end of the year, stock values had dropped by fifteen billion
dollars.
Many of the banks which had speculated heavily with their deposits were wiped
out by the falling prices, and these bank failures sparked a run on the banking system.
Each failed bank factory business and investor contributed to the downward spiral that
would drag the world into the Great Depression.
By 1930, the slump was apparent, but few people expected it to continue; previous
financial panics and depressions had reversed in a year or two. The usual forces of
economic expansion had vanished, however. Technology had eliminated more industrial
jobs than it had created; the supply of goods continued to exceed demand; the world
market system was basically unsound. The high tariffs of the Smoot-Hawley Act (1930)
exacerbated the downturn. As business failures increased and unemployment soared–and
as people with dwindling incomes nonetheless had to pay their creditors–it was apparent
that the United States was in the grip of economic breakdown. Most European countries
were hit even harder, because they had not yet fully recovered from the ravages of World
War I.) The deepening depression essentially coincided with the term in office (1929-33)
of President Herbert Hoover. The stark statistics scarcely convey the distress of the
millions of people who lost jobs, savings, and homes. From 1930 to 1933 industrial stocks
lost 80% of their value. In the four years from 1929 to 1932 approximately 11,000 U. S.
banks failed (44% of the 1929 total), and about $2 billion in deposits evaporated. The
gross national product (GNP), which for years had grown at an average annual rate of
3.5%, declined at a rate of over 10% annually, on average, from 1929 to 1932.
Agricultural distress was intense: farm prices fell by 53% from 1929 to 1932. President
Hoover opposed government intervention to ease the mounting economic distress. His
one major action, creation (1932) of the Reconstruction Finance Corporation to lend
money to ailing corporations, was seen as inadequate. Hoover lost the 1932 election to
Franklin D. Roosevelt.
The depression brought a deflation not only of incomes but of hope. In his first
inaugural address (March 1933), President Franklin D. Roosevelt declared that “the only
thing we have to fear is fear itself.” But though his New Deal grappled with economic
problems throughout his first two terms, it had no consistent policy. At first Roosevelt
tried to stimulate the economy through the National Recovery Administration, charged
with establishing minimum wages and codes of fair competition in every industry. It was
based on the idea of spreading work and reducing unfair competitive practices by means of
cooperation in industry, so as to stabilize production and prevent the price slashing that
had begun after 1929. This approach was abandoned after the Supreme Court declared the
NRA unconstitutional in Schecter Poultry Corporation V. United States (1935).
Roosevelt’s second administration gave more emphasis to public works and other
government expenditures as a means of stimulating the economy, but it did not pursue this
approach vigorously enough to achieve full economic recovery. At the end of the
1930s, unemployment was estimated at 17.2%. Other innovations of the Roosevelt
administrations had long-lasting effects, both economically and politically. To aid people
who could find no work, the New Deal extended federal relief on a vast scale. The Civilian
Conservation Corps took young men off the streets and sent them out to plant forests and
drain swamps. The government refinanced about one-fifth of farm mortgages through the
Farm Credit Administration and about one-sixth of home mortgages through the Home
Owners Loan Corporation. The Works Progress Administration employed an average of
over 2 million people in occupations ranging from laborers to musicians and writers. The
Public Works Administration spent about $4 billion on the construction of highways and
public buildings in the years 1933-39. The depression years saw a burst of union
organizing, aided by the National Labor Relations Act of 1935. New industrial unions
came into existence through the efforts of organizers led by John L. Lewis, Walter
Reuther, Philip Murray, and others; in 1937 they won contracts in the steel and auto
industries. Total union membership rose from about 3 million in 1932 to over 10 million in
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